CBN丨China's GDP up by 5.2% year-on-year in Q1-Q3

2023年10月18日 20:28   21世纪经济报道 21财经APP   李莹亮
中英文带你速览中国经济头条。

Hi everyone. I’m Stephanie LI.

大家好,我是主持人李莹亮。

Coming up on today’s program.

重点提要 

  • China's economic recovery regains momentum in third quarter, edges closer to annual target;

  • Deals on the 1st day of the 3rd Belt and Road Forum hit a record high.

Here’s what you need to know about China in the past 24 hours 

中国经济要闻

China's economic recovery regained mild momentum in the third quarter, rising by 1.3 percent from the previous three months, amid ongoing calls for increased policy support to sustain a consistent growth trajectory.

With economic growth of 5.2 percent to reach 91.3 trillion yuan in the first three quarters setting a solid foundation, China has full confidence in achieving its annual GDP growth target of around 5 percent in 2023, Sheng Laiyun, deputy director of the National Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday. 

In the third quarter, the country’s GDP expanded 4.9 percent year-on-year. Sheng added that, due to the low comparison base last year, China's economy only needs to reach a year-on-year growth of 4.4 percent in the fourth quarter to achieve the full-year target.

Figures released by the NBS showed China's value-added industrial output - a gauge of activity in the manufacturing, mining and utilities sectors - grew by 4.5 percent in September from a year earlier, flat with the figure in August.

Retail sales, a key measurement of consumer spending, grew by 5.5 percent year-on-year in September, up from the 4.6 percent growth in August. In the first three quarters, retail sales rose by 6.8 percent yearly, slowed from the 8.2 percent rise seen in the first half.

Elsewhere, fixed-asset investment - a major growth engine - expanded by 3.1 percent in the first nine months of the year, slightly down from the 3.2 percent jump in the first eight months.

The subdued property market remained a drag on the economy, as real estate investment fell by 9.1 percent in the first three quarters, contracting further from the 8.8 percent drop in the first eight months.

The surveyed urban jobless rate came in at 5 percent in September from 5.2 percent in August, according to the NBS.

Despite the steady recovery, the NBS warned of pressures from a grimmer and more complicated external environment as well as insufficient demand, saying more efforts should be made to consolidate the foundation for the economic rebound.

三季度宏观经济数据出炉。

国家统计局10月18日发布数据显示,初步核算,今年前三季度国内生产总值913027亿元,按不变价格计算,同比增长5.2%。三季度国内生产总值同比增长4.9%,环比增长1.3%。

三季度GDP同比增速较二季度有所回落,主要是由于去年同期基数抬升的原因。9月部分经济指标延续了回升态势,制造业采购经理指数重回扩张区间,比上月上升0.5个百分点,服务业生产指数连续两个月回升。

“如果扣除基数的影响,三季度的两年平均增长增速是4.4%,比二季度加快了1.1个百分点。此外,就业形势好转,企业预期改善,充分说明前三季度中国经济持续恢复向好。”国家统计局副局长盛来运在新闻发布会上表示。

前三季度,全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.0%,比上半年加快0.2个百分点。分产品来看,太阳能电池增长最为明显,为63.2%,充电桩、新能源汽车产量分别增长34.2%、26.7%。

9月规模以上工业增加值同比实际增长4.5%,与上月持平,略低于市场对此的预期。可见虽9月PMI已高于荣枯线,但企业需求收缩问题仍然比较突出。

消费依旧是最大的亮点。社零方面,前三季度,社会消费品零售总额342107亿元,同比增长6.8%。其中,9月社零总额同比增长5.5%,比上月加快0.9个百分点,增速连续2个月加快。

固投方面,前三季度同比增长3.1%。基础设施投资、制造业投资、房地产开发投资增速分别为6.2%、6.2%、-9.1%。制造业保持了一定的韧性,连续两个月回升。但基础设施投资增速较前8个月回落0.2个百分点,房地产市场也尚未走出低迷。

前三季度,全国城镇调查失业率平均值为5.3%。9月份,全国城镇调查失业率为5.0%,比上月下降0.2个百分点,连续2个月下降。

企稳信号已现。步入2023年最后一个季度,中国经济在接下来会有怎么样的表现?

“如果要完成全年预期目标,四季度只要增长4.4%以上,就可以保障完成全年5%左右的预期目标。”盛来运表示,四季度经济将会继续恢复向好,总体保持回升态势,对实现全年5%的预期目标很有信心。但也要看到,外部环境更趋复杂严峻,国内需求仍显不足,经济回升向好基础仍需巩固。

The BRI: A road to hope and prosperity

“一带一路”十周年:希望与繁荣之路

  • China initiated the Beijing Declaration for global entrepreneurs at the CEO Conference held during the third Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation (BRF) in Beijing on Tuesday, calling for efforts to adhere to openness and cooperation. The declaration has five parts, including adhering to openness and cooperation, deepening connectivity cooperation - such as a pledge to actively participate in infrastructure development - and enhancing trade liberalization and facilitation. It also calls for efforts to promote green development, strengthen cooperation on the digital economy, as well as lawful operations and fulfilling social responsibility. At this year’s conference, more than 300 representatives from China and abroad signed agreements. The deals, covering artificial intelligence, biomedicine, modern agriculture, as well as financial services, hit a record in terms of both the number of deals and the value of contracts.

    《“一带一路”企业家大会北京宣言》发布:10月17日,由中国贸促会、国务院国资委、全国工商联共同举办的“一带一路”企业家大会上,近300名中外代表在现场签署合作协议,项目涵盖基础设施、清洁能源、人工智能、生物医药、金融服务、现代农业、轨道交通等多个领域。会上还发布了《“一带一路”企业家大会北京宣言》。《宣言》倡议,坚持开放合作、深化互联互通、坚持绿色发展、推进数字经济合作以及坚持合规经营和履行社会责任,并呼吁更多国家工商界加入本倡议,让共建“一带一路”成为共同的机遇之路、繁荣之路,共同把这条造福世界的幸福之路铺得更宽更远。

  • At 4:35 pm on Tuesday, train G1137 left the Halim Station in Jakarta, Indonesia, marking the official operation of the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway (HSR), the first HSR in Indonesia and Southeast Asia and a landmark project under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), according to China State Railway Group on Tuesday. 

    印尼雅万高铁正式开通运营:北京时间10月17日16时35分,G1137次动车组列车从印尼雅加达哈利姆车站开出,雅加达至万隆高速铁路正式开通运营,这标志着印尼迈入高铁时代,中印尼共建“一带一路”取得重大标志性成果。

  • China signed a free trade agreement (FTA) with Serbia on Tuesday, the first FTA signed between China and a Central and Eastern European country, and the 22nd FTA China has signed, making Serbia China's 29th free trade partner. The deal was announced at the ongoing BRF in Beijing, witnessed by both countries' top leaders. It will push forward the high-quality joint construction of the BRI and deepen the comprehensive strategic partnership of the two countries, China's Ministry of Commerce said on Tuesday.

    中国与塞尔维亚签署自贸协定:中国商务部17日发布消息称,《中华人民共和国政府和塞尔维亚共和国政府自由贸易协定》当天在京签署。此次签署是中国与中东欧国家签署的第一个自贸协定,也是中国签署的第22个自贸协定,塞尔维亚也成为中国第29个自贸伙伴。中塞自贸协定的签署是两国领导人共识的重要举措,也是第三届“一带一路”国际合作高峰论坛的重要成果。

  • China's top economic planner and relevant authorities in three countries signed cooperation documents covering various fields including jointly building the BRI, the NDRC announced on Tuesday. China signed five deals with Hungary including a second batch of priority cooperation projects to jointly build the BRI in the second round, and four other memorandums of understanding, aiming to promote bilateral cooperation in industrial investment, the exchange of policies in economic development, green and low-carbon development, and the digital economy. The NDRC also signed four cooperation documents respectively with authorities of Papua New Guinea and Chile during the past two days.  

    国家发改委与多国签署共建“一带一路”合作文件:10月16-17日,国家发展改革委与多国有关部门签署共建“一带一路”合作文件。16日,国家发展改革委主任郑栅洁和匈牙利有关部门负责人签署共建“一带一路”优先合作项目清单、产业与投资合作、绿色低碳发展合作、经济发展政策领域交流合作和数字经济合作等五份合作文件。同日,郑栅洁与巴新有关部门主要负责人分别签署共建“一带一路”、经济发展领域交流合作、可持续发展合作、能源合作等四份合作文件。17日,郑栅洁和智利有关部门主要负责人签署共建“一带一路”合作规划、产业投资与合作、经济发展领域交流合作和数字经济合作等四份文件。

  • CRRC Changchun Railway Vehicles Co and Serbia's Ministry of Construction, Transport and Infrastructure inked a contract for the procurement of high-speed train needed for the Hungary-Serbia Railway, on Tuesday in the sideline of the BRF, marking the first time for China's high-speed train system capable of running at speeds of more than 200 kilometers per hour, being exported to Europe, according to the company. The high-speed train export contract includes 20 electric trains which use distributed power type with a maximum operating speed of 200 kilometers per hour, which are expected to go into operation by 2025. 

    中国高速动车组首次出口欧洲:在第三届“一带一路”国际合作高峰论坛期间,中国中车旗下中车长春轨道客车股份有限公司17日与塞尔维亚建设、交通和基础设施部在北京正式签署了塞尔维亚高速动车组车辆采购商务合同。这意味着中国高速动车组首次出口欧洲。据了解,此次签约列车为动力分散型电力动车组,包括20辆(5列)高速动车组,车辆采用4辆编组(2动2拖),最高运营时速200公里,计划将于2025年投入使用。

  • Chinese oil major Sinopec is purchasing 30 percent equity in Kazakhstan’s largest polyethylene plant, which is being built by state-owned oil and gas company KazMunayGas. Sinopec will receive the equity transfer from KazMunayGas and other partners in the project, the firm said yesterday, citing a deal inked at the BRF yesterday.

    中国石化入股哈萨克斯坦最大聚乙烯项目:第三届“一带一路”国际合作高峰论坛期间,中国石化宣布入股哈萨克斯坦国家石油天然气公司最大聚乙烯项目。10月17日,中国石化董事长马永生与哈国油管委会主席米尔扎卡里耶夫,签署了关于哈萨克斯坦聚乙烯项目公司的入股协议。根据协议内容,中国石化将从哈国油及其他合作伙伴手中获得30%股权,以参与哈萨克斯坦最大的聚乙烯项目。

  • Engineering contractor China CAMC Engineering has secured a 3.6 billion yuan contract for reconstructing and expanding an airport in the capital city of Central America’s Nicaragua. CAMCE will rebuild the airport in Managua and expand the original infrastructure into a high-grade international airport, the firm announced today, citing a deal it signed with the Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure of Nicaragua at the Belt and Road CEO Conference yesterday.

    中工国际获尼加拉瓜36亿元机场改扩建大单:中工国际10月18日早间公告,10月17日,公司与尼加拉瓜交通与基础设施部在第三届“一带一路”国际合作高峰论坛企业家大会签署尼加拉瓜蓬塔韦特国际机场改扩建项目商务合同,总额为35.93亿元人民币,为公司2022年营业总收入的36.98%。项目位于尼加拉瓜首都马那瓜市北部,项目内容为将原机场改扩建为一座高等级的国际机场。

  • Chinese construction engineering firm Norinco International said it penned a USD2 billion contract to expand the capacity of an oil refinery in Iraq. Norinco inked a construction deal with Awsat Energy, a company set up for the project, at the Belt and Road CEO Conference yesterday.

    北方国际拿下20亿美元伊拉克炼厂项目:17日北方国际公告,公司与AWSAT Energy FZE公司在第三届“一带一路”国际合作高峰论坛企业家大会签订了《伊拉克TQ炼厂扩建项目EPC总承包框架协议》。协议金额暂定约20亿美元。

Next on industry and company news

产业及公司新闻

  • JD Logistics said that the courier unit of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.Com will upgrade its self-operated express delivery business in Hong Kong and Macao to address fierce market competition. The improved delivery network will include several operation centers offering fast intracity express delivery in the two SARs, intercity express delivery between them and between the two regions and the mainland, as well as door-to-door delivery services, JD Logistics announced yesterday. Intracity parcels in Hong Kong will be delivered as quickly as four hours, with night delivery time extended to 10 p.m., while in Macao packages will be able to arrive the next morning, JD Logistics noted.

    京东快递加码港澳服务:10月17日,京东快递宣布升级港澳地区快递服务,将在中国香港和澳门地区开设多个快递运营中心,为港澳用户提供同城快递、港澳互寄以及港澳至内地的互发互寄与送货上门服务。略有不同的是,香港同城快递最快可以实现4小时送达,夜间派送时间将最晚延长至晚22时,而澳门同城快递最快则实现了次晨达,港澳用户间互发互寄最快次日达。

  • Chinese artificial intelligence startup Baichuan Intelligent Technology said on Tuesday that it has raised USD300 million from investors including Chinese tech giants Alibaba Group, Tencent Holdings and Xiaomi Corp. The latest round of funding followed an early USD50 million angel round, making the total fundraising to USD350 million.

    百川智能宣布获3亿美元融资:百川智能近日宣布已完成A1轮战略融资,融资金额3亿美元,阿里、腾讯、小米等科技公司及多家投资机构参投了本轮融资。此前,公司完成5000万美元的天使轮融资。截至目前,百川智能的融资金额已达3.5亿美元。 

Earnings reports express

财报速递

  • BYD’s shares advanced after the Chinese electric vehicle and battery giant said it expects its net profit to have jumped up to 142 percent in the first three quarters of the year. Net profit likely soared 120 percent to 142 percent to between 20.5 billion and 22.5 billion yuan in the first nine months from a year earlier, BYD announced late yesterday. It expects third-quarter net profit to have risen 67 percent to 102 percent to between 9.5 billion and 11.5 billion yuan, slower than that in the first half of the year.

    比亚迪前三季大赚超1.2倍:10月17日晚间,比亚迪披露2023年前三季度业绩预告,预计前三季度盈利205亿-225亿元,同比增长120.16%-141.64%;预计第三季度盈利95.46亿-115.46亿元,同比增长67.00%-101.99%。18日,比亚迪A股大涨4.65%,H股更是涨近7%。

Wrapping up with a quick look at the stock market

股市收盘情况

  • Chinese stocks ended down Wednesday despite forecast-beating economic growth data. The benchmark Shanghai Composite shed 0.8 percent and the Shenzhen Component fell 1.2 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index dipped 0.2 percent while the TECH index dropped 1.7 percent.

    A股港股收跌:周三A股三大指数今日集体收跌,截至收盘,沪指跌0.8%,深成指跌1.24%,创业板指跌1.2%,沪深两市成交额7666亿元。两市超4700只个股下跌,北向资金净卖出11.6亿元。港股恒指跌0.23%,恒生科指跌1.67%。

Biz Word of the Day

财经词汇划重点

  • The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway (HSR) is the first HSR in Indonesia and Southeast Asia, and a landmark project under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Connecting Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia, and Bandung, the fourth-largest city in Indonesia, the Jakarta-Bandung HSR is 142 kilometers long and has a maximum design speed of 350 kilometers per hour. It will cut the journey between the two cities from 3.5 hours to just 46 minutes.

    雅万高铁是印尼和东南亚第一条高速铁路,也是中国共建“一带一路”倡议和印尼“全球海洋支点”构想对接、中印尼两国务实合作的旗舰项目,全线采用中国技术、中国标准。雅万高铁连接印尼首都雅加达和旅游名城万隆,线路全长142.3公里,最高运营时速350公里,列车最高运营时速350公里,两地最快46分钟可达。

Executive Editor: Sonia YU

Editor: LI Yanxia

Host: Stephanie LI

Writer: Stephanie LI 

Sound Editor: Stephanie LI

Graphic Designer: ZHENG Wenjing, LIAO Yuanni

Produced by 21st Century Business Herald Dept. of Overseas News.

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策划、编辑:李艳霞 

播音:李莹亮

撰稿:李莹亮

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